Why the Amount of Corporate Debt Outstanding Could Be a Problem
Don Burrows, Founder and Managing Partner at Burrows Capital Advisors, explains the recent bear steepening of the yield curve, whether the equity risk premium supports valuations, and how higher interest rates are impacting consumers.
Nuveen CIO Disagrees with Markets on Rate Cuts in 2024
Saira Malik, Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen, shares reasons to be optimistic about markets and explains why she doesn’t foresee interest rates coming down in 2024.
A Sticky Situation for the ECB
Inflation data from Germany and Spain has raised the prospect that price growth across the eurozone may be hotter than originally projected. Does this raise the probability of another rate hike by the ECB in September? CME Group Senior Economist Erik Norland explains. CME Group experts regularly share insights and analysis on market events that matter to you.
A Bumpy Inflation Ride Ahead
U.S. inflation is now just one percentage point above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Should the Fed push rates higher just because housing continues to be a key contributor to inflation? CME Group Chief Economist Blu Putnam explains. CME Group experts regularly share insights and analysis on market events that matter to you. Stay Up-to-Date with Evolving Markets
Treasury Yields Reverse
Since July 7, there have been some big changes in the tone of economic data and its implications for future rate policy, which have pushed yields down to 3.77%. What does the change in data mean for short-term and long-term yields? Insights by Jim Iuorio with TJM Institutional View exclusive content and premium features. Create a CME Group account
What to Watch with the Next Fiscal and Monetary Regime
As the economy enters a phase of policy restraint on both the fiscal and monetary fronts, risk managers must learn to adapt to a persistence of short-term interest rates remaining above inflation expectations, a slower growth economic environment, and policy constraints no longer supporting equity and bond markets. CME Group Chief Economist Blu Putnam explains. View exclusive content and premium features Create a CME Group account
Beware of Outdated Economic Models
Over the last six or seven decades, the economic effect of higher interest rates has dramatically changed, and many economic models may no longer apply. CME Group Chief Economist Blu Putnam compares older processes to more modern ones. Take advantage of premium derivatives content, tools, and alerts. Create a CME Group account
For Farmers, An Uncertain Crop Season Awaits
According to the USDA Prospective Plantings report, U.S. farmers are set to plant more acres in 2023 than a year ago, as crop prices and input costs remain high. Scott Irwin of the University of Illinois, Dan Basse of AgResource, and Kent Stutzman of Advance Trading discuss the effect of interest rates, input costs, and Brazilian crop production on U.S. farmers. Take advantage of premium derivatives content, tools, and alerts. Create a CME Group account
Worst of Banking Crisis is Over
Crossmark Global Investments CIO, Bob Doll, believes that the worst of the banking crisis may be over, but there are still issues related to the Federal Reserve's raising of interest rates that may lead to consequences such as a slowing economy. However, he also finds the recent increase in both financials and energy stocks to be encouraging.
St. Louis Federal Reserve President Vows Not To Repeat 70’s
They Say history repeats itself, but James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis said the Federal Reserve is determined not to let that happen. Or at least they want to avoid the inflation and volatility the US experienced in the 70’s.
Fed Watch: Markets Diverge From Fed Signaling
The Fed raised rates 25bps after the first FOMC of the year, which markets were expecting, but CME Group Fed Futures data shows that markets are breaking from the Fed’s forecasting for the rest of year.
Market Reacts To First Fed Day Of 2023
The fed announced a 25bps rate hike after its first FOMC meeting of 2023, bringing the new benchmark rate range to 4.50% and 4.75%, the highest level since October 2007. Peter Tuchman, aka “the Einstein of Wall Street” aka “the most photographed man on Wall Street”, shares his thoughts on how the news was received on the Floor.