As inflation continues to surprise to the upside, what does this mean for the Fed? Insights by Jim Iuorio with TJM Institutional Services.
Mixed Signals: An Assessment Of U.S. Recession Risk In The Year Ahead
Tom Joyce, Global Head of Capital Markets Strategy for MUFG discusses his recently published report, "Mixed Signals: An Assessment Of US Recession Risk In The Year Ahead", where over 110 signals for previous US recessions were reviewed to form a projection of the likelihood of a recession and what it will look like.
Fed Battles Inflation with Another Historic Rate Hike
The Fed is moving expeditiously toward neutral, raising interest rates another 75 basis points and matching June's hike, which was the most in three decades. During his press conference, Fed Chair Jay Powell told journalists that he does not think the U.S. is currently in a recession, but he warned that nothing works in the economy without price stability. Powell said the Fed could do another unusually large rate hike in September, but it all depends on the data.
War, Acreage Surprises Lead to Volatility in Grain Markets
Volatility has been unusually elevated in the grain markets this year, as a war, pandemic and inflation have given farmers more challenges with which to contend. CME Group’s expert roundtable looked at how market participants are managing these risks. Tim Andriesen, Global Head of Agriculture and Alternative Investment Products, CME Group Dan Basse President AgResource Company Angie Setzer, Co-Founder/Partner, Consus LLC.
Markets Showing Resilience
Jonathan Corpina, Senior Managing Director at Meridian Equity Partners, discusses the market’s resiliency in spite of June’s CPI coming in higher than expected and JPMC and Morgan Stanley earnings down 28% and 29% YoY, respectively; oil’s impact on stock prices; and what the market needs from the July FOMC meeting.
Euro At Parity
For the first time in 20-years, the euro and the U.S. dollar have reached parity. To ease the euro’s decline, will the ECB be forced to respond with more aggressive rate hikes? Insights by Jim Iuorio with TJM Institutional Services.
The ETF Show: The Only Free Lunch in Investing
Mark Carver, Managing Director and Global Head of Equity Factor Products at MSCI, analyzes factor performance and the factors that tend to do well during periods of high inflation, rising rates, and volatility. Anthony Caruso, Co-Head of Product Specialists at Dimensional Fund Advisors, also discusses the value premium and global diversification.
What will June CPI show us?
“Headline [CPI] is what people feel. People feel food and energy.” Cameron Dawson talks to Jim Iuorio about the real impact of inflation and the challenges it poses for the Fed if headline CPI remains high. Register now to watch the full panel discussion.
All Eyes On Earnings
TJM Investments Managing Director Tim Anderson shares his thoughts on June's CPI report, a possible peak in inflation, pending earnings calls as an indicator, and what to look for in the market's reaction to those calls.
The ECB and Mounting Eurozone Debt
In an effort to tame soaring prices across the eurozone, the ECB is prepping to raise interest rates. What impact will a rising rate environment have on Europe’s debt situation? Insights by Erik Norland, Senior Economist at CME Group.
Persistent Inflation and Supply Chain Recovery
Early signs point to both goods demand and manufacturing activity beginning to wane. So, where does persistent inflation stand with supply chain recovery efforts? Register now to watch the full panel discussion with Cameron Dawson, Subadra Rajappa, Eric Leininger and Jim Iuorio.
Since June 14th U.S. 2-year Treasury yields have fallen over 50 basis points. Will the Fed signal a more cautious approach or will rates resume higher amid stubborn inflation? Insights by Jim Iuorio with TJM Institutional Services.